Choosing Variables with a Genetic Algorithm for Econometric models based on Neural Networks learning and adaptation

نویسندگان

  • Daniel Ramírez
  • Juan M. Gómez
چکیده

The mixture of two already known soft computing techniques, like Genetic Algorithms and Neural Networks (NN) in Financial modeling, takes a new approach in the search for the best variables involving an Econometric model using a Neural Network. This new approach helps to recognize the importance of an economic variable among different variables regarding econometric modeling. A Genetic algorithm constructs a set of working neural networks, evolving the inputs given to each NN as well as its internal architecture. An input subset is chosen by the genetic algorithm from a multiple variable set, due to the NN training results from this given input. At the end of the evolutionary process, the best given inputs for a specific neural network architecture are obtained. The experimental results revealed an improvement of 80% in the NN learning performance of the Econometric model. At the same time it reduces the model complexity by 46%, without large computer resources being used during the evolutionary process.

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تاریخ انتشار 2004